【专家点评】非美走势震荡，等待美联储利率会议经要

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【/h/】欧元/美元:最后一个交易日，欧元/美元先跌后涨，汇率在1.4118-1.4277区间波动。美国4月新住房建设和工业产出数据疲软引发对美国经济前景的担忧，美元指数飙升至75.23，推动欧元/美元强劲反弹，盘中技术指标在其上行趋势线的支撑下趋于进一步上升。今天分水岭1.4125，汇率1.4125以上，看涨。目标价1.4320然后1.4380。上阻力为1.4425、1.4380、1.4320，下支撑为1.4125、1.4045、1.400。

交易策略:观望，或者在1.4150附近多做欧元/美元。

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美元/瑞郎:最后一个交易日，美元/瑞郎先涨后跌，汇率在0.8883-0.8797区间波动。美国经济数据疲弱，4月新屋开工总量降至52.3万套，4月工业产出月率持平，均逊于预期，将美元/瑞郎从0.8883打压至盘中低点0.8797。当天技术指标走低，走势承压。今天分水岭是0.8870，汇率在0.8870以下，看跌。目标价0.8780然后0.8750。上阻:0.8950，0.8910，0.8870；下支座为0.8780、0.8750、0.871。

交易策略:观望，或者做空美元/瑞郎接近0.8870。

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【/h/】英镑/美元今日:最后一个交易日，英镑/美元先跌后涨，汇率在1.6173-1.6303区间波动。英国4月份核心cpi月利率创下历史新高，推动英镑/美元从1.6173的盘中低点攀升至1.6301的盘中高点。英格兰银行官员的言论降低了加息的可能性，并略微拉低了汇率。盘中技术指标缺乏动能，短期(日内)支撑在1.6180左右。汇率在1.618以上，看涨，目标价1.6325。上方阻力为1.6300、1.6375、1.6430，下方支撑为1.6180、1.6165、1.6145。

交易策略:观望，或者在1.6180附近多赚1美元英镑。

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【/h/】美元/日元:最后一个交易日，美元/日元主要上涨，汇率在80.71-81.77区间波动。日本官员的言论拖累日元，推动美元兑日元从盘中低点80.71攀升至三周高点81.77。美国数据普遍偏弱，降低了美联储收紧流动性的概率，抑制汇率小幅下跌，且当日技术指标运行趋势复杂，应谨慎处理。今天分水岭81.25，汇率81.25以上，看涨。目标价81.75，然后81.95；汇率跌破81.25，看跌，目标价接近80.70。上阻力为82.10、81.95、81.75，下支撑为81.00、80.70、80.35。

交易策略:观望。